Winter Dress takes a drop in class in the 2.00 at Lingfield and looks overpriced at 11/1.
Roger Teale’s filly blew her chances at the start on her handicap debut here in May when finishing 8th of 12 to Boudoir and although beaten 6 3/4 lengths she ran far better than that suggests off a mark of 66.
After being slowly away she travelled powerfully and was staying on well under a tender ride when badly hampered and snatched up approaching the final furlong.
She finished the race with plenty of running left in here, and then ran a similar race next time up when a never nearer 6th of 12 to Miss Cato in a class 5 event at Sandown when well-backed.
Although she then did disappoint when just 7th of 10 to Burnham last time out at Windsor she pulled very hard and forfeited a good pitch when running wide on the bend before weakening a furlong out and I am inclined to forgive her that effort.
Connections are now dropping her into class 6 company and more interestingly fitting her with the visor for the first time.
The handicapper has also dropped her to a mark of just 60, and that makes her look very well treated on the form she showed last year.
The well-bred daughter of Haafhd improved in each of her four starts as a juvenile, and put in a particularly good effort when attempting to make all on her penultimate start at Salisbury.
After being headed three out she stayed bang in the firing line in soft ground until weakening approaching the final furlong to finish 5th of 14 to subsequent Dante winner and leading derby hope Bonfire.
It was a cracking effort on unsuitable ground, and she should be able to win a race of this nature judged om it.
With the very promising Harry Bentley taking a further 3lb of her back she looks weighted to strike, and at the odds on offer looks excellent each-way value.
Daily Sport recommended bet: 3pts each-way Winter Dress (11/1 bet365, Betfred - BOG)