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Bookmark us · Wednesday, 22nd October 2014

Chepstow Tips & Previews

Posted on by Dave Metcalf

Go get the 12s about Gypsy Rider

Gypsy Rider looks overpriced at 12/1 in the opener at Chepstow (2.00) and terrific each-way value.

Bryn Palling’s gelding was heavily supported to open his account on his handicap debut over 6f at Wolverhampton last time out but ran a shocker and trailed in a distant last.

However it could pay to forgive him that effort on the artifical surface, and on his previous three runs in maidens on the turf he showed enough promise to make him of inetrest this afternoon off a mark of 58.

One of his best efforts came on his debut over 5f at this track, where after getting outpaced he stayed on well under tender handling to finish fourth of 11 to Wolfgang.

He had two of today’s rivals – Emma Jean and the favourite Fast On – behind him that day and there is no real reason why he should not confirm the form.

The selection also showed promise on his second start when fifth of 15 to Blackdown Fair in a maiden at Salisbury, and good speed before weakening to finish fifth of 7 to Avon Pearl over course and distance.

The way he was punted last time suggests that connections believe that he could be potentially well treated now going down the handicap route, and it would be no surprise to see him put up a really bold bid in this.

I can’t understand why he is three times the odds of Fast On on his debut form, and at that price has to be backed each-way.

Recommended bet: 2pts each-way Gypsy Rider (12/1 Hills – BOG)

 

6/1 Mill Mick of major interest

Mill Mick shaped like a future winner last time out and is of major inetrest at 6/1 in the 3.00 at Chepstow.

John Mackie’s charge went into my notebook as a sure fire future winner when showing improved form on his handicap debut at Hyadock last month.

He travelled very strongly at the rear of the field that day before making good headway to from home to hold every chance until being able to find any extra at the business end of affairs.

The gelding could only keep on at the one pace to finish just over a 3 length fifth of 8 to Number Thoery, but ran far better than his finishing position suggests.

The way he travelled for much of the 1m 2f journey suggested that a drop back in trip would see him in far better light.

He gets that today, and I am convinced that he is potentially well ahead of the handicapper from his current mark of 67.

Another plus is that his handler has a 25% strike rate with his runners at the Welsh track in the last 12 months, saddling a winner and twi placed horses from just four runners.
Recommended bet: 4pts each-way Mill Mick (6/1 bet365 –  BOG)


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