Course and distance winner We Have A Dream is back down to his last winning mark and looks overpriced at 18/1 in the 8.05 at Kempton.
Bill Muir’s charge is a useful and tough sprint handicapper who is very hard to pass when at his best as he proved last year when making all to score at Windsor and Folkestone off marks of 81 and 85.
The gelding went on to finish an excellent second to Joe Packet off 87 in a decent handicap at Windsor and a solid runner-up to Summerinthecity on his penultimate start at Brighton off 85.
The seven-year-old looked badly in need of the run on his reappearance here in March when well beaten behind Shropshire, but he was not ridden aggressively that day and is sure to strip much fitter this afternoon.
The assessor has been kind by immediately dropping him a couple of pounds to 85, and that gives him every chance of being competitive.
It would be no surprise to see him leave that run quickly behind, and he is well drawn to attack from gate 3.
If Martin Dwyer – who has ridden him to 6 of his 11 victories – can bounce him out and grab the rails he could prove an extremely tough cookie to pass, and although he does face competition for the lead he has the best draw of those that like to force the pace.
To me there is now way that he should be 18/1, and at those odds he is definitely worth an each-way punt.
Daily Sport recommended bet: 2pts each-way We Have A Dream (18/1 bet365 – BOG)