Greece’s game against the Czech Republic (5pm KO, Live on ITV1) is a a really tough one to call and over 2.5 goals makes the most appeal from a betting perspective at 6/4.
The Czechs got stuffed 4-1 by Russia in their opening game of Group A when the winning margin could have been double that and Greece should possibly have beaten Poland but in the end had to settle for a 1-1 draw.
That will tempt a few to go with the Greeks at 12/5, but the stats suggest that the Czechs are the ones to be with at 7/5.
Including games played as Czechoslovakia, the they have won five and lost just one of eight previous games against Greece in all competitions.
As far as the Euro finals go they have met twice before, with Greece winning via a silver goal in the semi-finals of Euro 2004 and the Czechs winning 3-1 in Euro 1980.
There really is not much between the two sides, and rather than attempt to pick an outright winner I feel it is goals that we should be concentrating on.
Sides tend to play more openly once the first game is out of the way, and the Czechs know that they must get something out of this game to keep their hopes of qualifying alive.
They will surely go for blood from the off, and that could well set up plenty of chances on the counter attack for Greece.
I can see both sides getting on the scoresheet and I am convinced that there will be plenty of goals in what could turn out to be a very open game
Therefore at the 6/4 on offer with Betvictor, Paddy Power and Stan James a punt on over 2.5 goals makes plenty of appeal.