Nickeys On Time could prove a different proposition now dropped in trip on her British debut in the opener at Wolverhampton (1.45) and looks worth chancing at 16/1.
The filly has failed to trouble the judge in four runs in Ireland, but now makes her debut for the shrewd Daniel Mark Loughnane outfit off a very lowly mark.
The daughter of Ivan Denisovich was well beaten on her racecourse debut behind the very useful Twirl in a 7f maiden at Leopardstown after a slow start, and it was a similar story on her next two outings over a mile at Dundalk where she was never a factor after fluffing the gates.
She then made her handicap debut off a mark of 56 in a 45-75 contest over 1m 2f at Leopardstown and was again never sighted after being slowly away.
However that contest was stronger than the class 6 company she tackles this afternoon, and she is now racing off a mark off just 53.
With Mark Coumbe taking a further 5lb off her back she has no weight to carry, and her handler has done well with similar types in the past who have had a string off duck eggs next to their name but landed gambles off low marks.
It’s also interesting that she is being dropped back down to 7f having competed over 1m 2f last time out, and I can’t help but feel that we have not seen the best of her and she will be placed to land a punt by connections.
Whether today is the day remains to be seen, but she has a bargain basement mark to work with and has been found a nice opening.
Backing her obviously comes with risks, but at the price on offer it looks a risk worth taking.
Daily Sport recommended bet: 2pts each-way Nickeys On Time (16/1 Betfred, BetVictor, Boylesports – BOG)