Poland have to be the punt at the 5/4 on offer with Paddy Power to beat the Czech Republic in what’s promises to be a real Euro2012 battle tonight (7.45pm KO, Live on BBC1).
A win for either team in this fixture would put them through to the quarter-finals while a draw for the Czechs could see them progress.
However I can’t see this ending in a third draw on the trot for Poland, who will be eager to ensure that they don’t become only the second host nation ever not to win a group stage match.
Their six wins against the Czechs have come in their last six games on home turf against them, and that suggest that they will be tough to beat in front of their fanatical fans.
They have certainly shown enough to in draws with Russia and Greece that they are capable of victory, and have players who can put a vulnerable looking Petr Cech to the test.
The Czech goalie has conceded five goals from only six shots on target so far in this tournament, and made a real howler when gifting Greece with a goal in their last match.
The Polish players will surely be keen to put him under pressure right from the off, and in Robert Lewandowski they have a striker capable of exploiting any opportunities.
If Poland are to win then he will surely find the back of the net, and at a general price of 6/4 he makes plenty of appeal in the anytime goalscorer market.