I’m not one for blowing my own trumpet (well, not too much anyway) but we had a superb week last week and I’ll mention the profits later and can only hope that a few of you were on board, in which case you owe me a drink!
Before that the headline news in South Africa seems to be all about the Dubai World Cup meeting next Saturday where Mike De Kock flies the bag with runners expected in both the UAE Derby and the World Cup itself where he will be hoping that Mubtaahij can go one better than last year, though to be realistic, beating American challenger Arrogate may well prove one step beyond him – again. I only mention it because I’m heading over for the race and if I get the chance to talk to Mike (slim chance but I can only try), or hear anything about his runners worth telling, I’ll put an article together and see if it helps, good or bad.
In this sport we have to take the rough with the smooth but what exactly happened at Vaal on Tuesday afternoon? New drainage systems had been put in place on the Classic track but it would appears that it wasn’t properly tested and they abandoned after race four amid safety concerns for horses and jockeys, though it appears that punters were the last to know about potential changes to race distances, so it’s not just the UK that treats punters shabbily then?
Moaning over, and on to the racing on Sunday and I admit I am still coming to terms with the percentage of all-weather racing in South Africa and its position in the racing hierarchy. Here in the UK (rightly or wrongly), it is still seen as lower class stuff (and invariably is), but I am learning this is NOT the case in South Africa with some high class races at all the tracks so it’s off to Greyville on Sunday on the polytrack. Lightning can strike twice (ask golfer Lee Trevino), and last week I relied on in-form jockey Ashton Arries with a win single and ten win doubles and low and behold, he kindly rode three winners, landing the single at odds of 5/1, plus winners at 3/1 and 10/1 for a profit of five times your stake for the single, and a hundred and twenty four times your total stakes for the doubles, nice work if you can get it, and I only wish I had more money on them myself. Working to the theory that if it isn’t broken why try fixing it, I have again had a look at the trainers and jockeys with the most winners last week, and come up with S’Manga Khumalo (who sadly doesn’t have a ride on Sunday) and trainer Sean Tarry who has had six winners in the last week and gets lumbers with my vote today.
The popular trainer has plenty of runners on Sunday afternoon with four in total, though sadly two are in the same race. Assuming (perhaps naively) that Athndiwe Mgudlwa had the choice of mounts then it would seem that Ostentation is the first pick in the 13:45 (Race Three), and after a win and a perfectly respectable fourth in her last two outings she seems to have as good a chance as any for her in form stable.
Next up we have top weight Hyaku in the 14:20pm (Race Three) and she has similar form with a win and a fourth, and with the return to 2000mtrs very likely to suit she can go well for us this afternoon and (heaven forbid), may even win.
Horse three is our final suggestion, and hopefully worth waiting for as Wandie’s doesn’t run until Race Seven due off at 16:40pm. She hasn’t been seen since a distant ninth here last time out back in October and may well be the biggest priced of our trio, but she has been out down a pond for that effort and has won off of similar marks in the past, and may not be quite as out of things here as the betting implies.
Win Patent (three win singles three win doubles and a win treble):
Ostentation 13:45pm (Race Two)
Hyaku 14:20pm (Race Three)
Wandie’s 16:40pm (Race Seven)