Southwell Threesome

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Dorback appeals at 12s

Dorback is potentially thrown-in at the weights in the 1.10 at Southwell and makes plenty of appeal at 12/1 after an eye-catching effort last time out.

The gelding had some decent form when trained by Henry Candy and is now 20lb below his highest ever rating.

He scored in good style when beating Buzzword on his debut as a juvenile and went on to be beaten just a head by Coolminx at Beverley.

The gelding only made it to the track once in 2010, but that run saw him finish a close up third to the useful Duchess Dora at Sandown off a rating of 94 and the form of that looks strong in the context of this contest.

He has also put in a couple of really solid efforts this season, most notably when a very eye-catching fifth of 15 to Kanaf in a decent contest at Ascot back in July in a class 3 contest which has thrown up plenty of winners.

Now in the care of Noel Wilson, he races off a career-low mark today and holds outstanding claims of gaining a well overdue success having shaped well last time out.

That run came in over 6f at Kempton where he was heavily backed but given far too much to do in a  slowly  run race.

Held up at the rear of the field his rider sat motionless as the leaders quickened the pace turning for home, and despite making rapid late headway he failed by 1 1/2 lengths to catch Lutine Charlie.

Given a more positive ride there is little doubt in my mind that he would have won, and given that he runs off a 3lb lower mark this afternoon he must go close in this if taking to the fibresand.

Daily Sport recommended bet: 2pts each-way Dorback (12/1 generally available – use BOG firms)

 

10/1 Brio a great each-way bet

Brio narrowly failed to land a gamble last time out and looks solid each-way value at 10/1 in the 2.10 at Southwell today.

Alan McCabe’s three-year-old raced up with the pace over course and distance a week ago and looked the likely winner after hitting the front a furlong from home.

However he was unable to find an extra deep inside the last and eventually went down by just over a length to Elhamri.

He is now 6lb better of with that rival, and that should be more than enough to enabl;e him to turn the tables.

The gelding has been in good form of late, and got off the mark in good style in a 7f seller at Leicester last month where he showed good early speed to make virtually all and win by 3 1/2 lengths.

He then went off far too hard when trying to follow up in a claimer here on his latest start but interestingly drops back in trip to 6f this afternoon and looks well treated on his second to Suddenly Susan over course and distance back in August.

The gelding ran off 61 that day and although beaten 3 lengths the form reads well in the context of this race and he has shown gradually improvement since.

He runs off just a 1lb higher mark this afternoon, and could be hard to peg back if settling well at the head of affairs given his proven stamina to stay 7f.

The unbeaten favourite Take Over is clearly the one he has to beat, but that one’s presence in the field means that he is a bigger price than he should be.

I had him priced up at 7s, and I can’t understand why he can be backed at three points higher than his old rival Elhamri.

He comes into the race in tip top shape, looks sure to give his running, and rates an each-way steal at the odds on offer.

Daily Sport recommended bet: 2pts each-way Brio (10/1generally available – use BOG firms)

 

Fault looks fabulous at 10/1

Fault has been shaping as if his turn is near and looks good each-way value at 10/1 in the finale at Southwell (3.40).

The gelding was last successful off a mark of 65 at Leicester back in July when trained by Stef Higgins and gets in this contest off a rating of just 58.

Now in the care of Alistair Lidderdale, the five-year-old put some disappointing efforts behind him when a staying on fourth in a seller at Wolverhampton two starts ago and followed that up with a solid third when returned to the track last time out.

He kept on really nicely without being subjected to a hard time to be beaten 2 3/4 lengths by Silver Wind, and if building on that effort must go close.

Although he has yet to win in three starts on the fibresand he proved his effectiveness on the surface when a good second to Salerosa her last November off a 17lb higher mark, and there is little doubt that he has become very well treated.

Daily Sport recommended bet: 2pts each-way Fault (10/1 Victor Chandler – BOG)

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