It’s a Grade Two, it’s a novice – but it’s a handicap and the battle we have is working out who is improving faster than the handicapper thinks – and who isn’t.
Profiling tells me precious little other than the fact that Pismo Beach is up against it (19 who pulled up last time have tried to win this – none have been successful), so back to the formbook. Strong Run is the one that leaps off the page to me, a winner at Southwell on her second start over hurdles despite pulling too hard and making a mistake four out, and the daughter of Passing Glance ran just as well in defeat when beaten a length and a quarter by favourite Coolanna at Wincanton.
Making her handicap debut off a mark of 116 which seems fair enough, the better ground here will certainly suit and if she can get round without too many mistakes (sadly not guaranteed), then she can go well with a place giving us a small profit if nothing else.
Daily Sport Recommended Bet 1pt Win Strong Run 3.00pm Newbury 11/2 most bookmakers