Circuit Could Break Bookmaker’s Hearts

A two-mile handicap on the all-weather needs a bit more digging to try to cut the field down to those with the best chances, and I have 26 years of data to work through! In no particular order 25 or the 26 were drawn 12 or lower, priced 40/1 or shorter, aged eight or younger, rated 97 or lower, and came from the first 10 in the betting.

Apply all those (dodgy) rules and we are down to a shortlist of five – Spirit Mixer, Solent Gateway, Splendent, Sweet Fantasy, and Circuit Breaker. If we are lucky, then one of that quintet will come home in front, but somehow we need to cull the list once more to get to the sole selection.  Spirit Mixer was tempting with trainer Andrew Balding having a record in the race of three runners for a win and a place, but he hasn’t won since May 2022 and I will take the chance on the lightly raced Circuit Breaker.

Bought out of Ralph Beckett’s yard for 260,000 Guineas in the October sales, the Nathaniel gelding has his first start for Jonjo O’Neill here and may have more to come. A course and distance winner in September last year which he followed with a good second on soft ground at Haydock, his race fitness is an unknown quantity after six months off the track, but with only five starts on the clock, I am hoping he is in for a rewarding season.

Daily Sport Recommended Bet 1/2pt Each Way Circuit Breaker 3.15pm Kempton 5/1 most bookmakers

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