Arc Preview: Shareta value to go one better

© 2012 Daily Sport Limited

The Prix De LArc De Triomphe takes centre stage at Longchamp today (3.25) and Shareta looks terrific value at 11/1 to go one better than she did last year and keep the prize at home.

Alain De Royer-Dupre’s filly finished second to runaway winner Danedream in last year’s renewal where she had the likes of Snow Fairy, So You Think and St Nicholas Abbey behind her.

To me that was a stronger race than today’s and she has been better than ever this season and been brought along steadily with this race in mind.

She comfortably beat The Fugue by a neck in the Yorkshire Oaks before running out the impressive winner of the Prix Vermeille over course and distance on her latest start.

The daughter of Sinndar showed good tactical speed to be prominent throughout before making smooth headway to lead at the two pole and then only had to be ridden out to stride clear inside the last furlong to comfortably beat Pirika by 2 lengths.

She beat Yellow And Green, who finished a staying on fourth, by 3 1/2 lengths and there is no reason to believe she won’t confirm that form given the manner of her victory.

The four-year-old is also versatile as regards to ground conditions, and has plenty of solid form on soft ground like she will encounter today.

She also has the services of Christophe Lemaire in the saddle and a decent enough draw in stall 11.

To me she should be single figure odds for this, and the 11/1 available with BetVictor looks cracking each-way value – especially as they are paying 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4.

Of the market leaders, I think the ground will be all against Camelot after his hard race in the St Leger and as much as I would like to see him win with Frankie Dettori in the saddle he looks far too short in the market at 7/2 and simply has to be taken on.

The Japanese raider Orfevre has a big chance, but has the worst of the draw in stall 18 and most of his wins have come on quick ground.

I wasn’t personally overly impressed with his warm-up win for this in the Prix Foy, and at 5/1 he’s plenty short enough for me.

John Gosden’s Great Heavens is now third favourite at 7/1 after being heavily supported since being supplemented, but I think this is a massive ask for her on the form she has shown in six starts.

OK, she has won five of those and did win the Irish Oaks last time out. However she hit a flat spot two from home and looked beat when the pace quickened before staying on strongly when her stamina kicked in to eventually win going away by 3 lengths.

The second home Shirocco Star was beaten 5 1/4 lengths by Shareta in the Yorkshire Oaks, so on a line through that filly I don’t think she is entitled to be shorter in the betting than the selection.

I’m also not convinced that she has the tactical speed for this test, and think the current odds on offer for her are crazily short.

Daily Sport recommended bet: 3pts each-way Shareta (11/1 BetVictor – BOG, 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4)


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