Man City travel to Anfield to take on Liverpool in the big game of the day (4pm KO, Live on Sky Sports 1) and look cracking value at 8/5 with Hills to come away with all three points.
The home side were woeful in their opening game when given a 3-0 drubbing by West Brom, and new manager Brendan Rodgers knows that a similar performance will see them torn apart by City.
The Reds looked clueless against the Baggies, and they come into this game a complete mess judged on that effort.
OK Liverpool fans will point to the fact that the last time they lost to City in the league at home was back in the 2002/03 season, since when they have won six and drawn 3 against the Citizens on their own patch.
But City are now by far the stronger side and despite being without Aguero have a side packed full of talent and potential goalscorers.
Mario Balotelli had a good Euro 2012 and looks just the type of player that will wreak havoc in this and makes plenty of appeal at 8/1 with sportingbet and Stan James in the first goalscorer market.
I really fancy City to win this without reply, and they are a best priced of 7/2 with Sky Bet to do so.
A 2-0 or 3-0 win for the Citizens is my idea of the outcome, and those scorelines can be backed at 12/1 generally and a whopping 33/1 with Stan James.