Stoke take on Liverpool in the Carling Cup tonight (7.45pm KO) and look good value at 5/2 to maintain their excellent home record.
Tony Pulis’ side are unbeaten on home soil this season – winning six and drawing three.
The Potters have turned the Britannia stadium into a fortress and I can’t see Liverpool having the firepower to break it down.
The Merseysiders have become as easy to predict as the lottery numbers and have won just three of their last seven games in all competitions.
They come into this on the back of a disappointing 1-1 draw with Norwich at Anfield, and the stats reveal that they have also lost their last three matches in this competition against Premiership sides.
Throw into the mix that they have also kept just one clean sheet in their last 11 carling Cup matches and you can see why Stoke are too big at 5/2 with bet365, Sky Bet and Victor Chandler.
Their no nonsense approach will upset Liverpool, and their willingness to battle to the death can see them triumph in what promises to be a fiercely fought tie.