Scottsville Sunday and the chance of Big Returns for Pennies?

One week to go before the massive Gold Cup festival at Greyville next weekend but no time to sit on our laurels with a full if difficult card at Scottsville on Sunday afternoon to work through when I am going for the greedy version to see if we can repeat the highly profitable multiples we achieved a few weeks back for smaller stakes.

Before then, I ought to at least mention who did what last week as an explanation for my selections here and there have been quite a few trainers and jockeys who have had a successful week themselves, and provided a profitable week for their many followers. In the last week at the time of counting (and I’d like to add I do this by hand which takes a while, that’s commitment for you), and Craig Zackey tops the jockey list with seven winners, closely followed by Keagan De Melo and Anthony Delpech with six meaning they deserve close attention (owners can be fickle creatures and will quickly book a jockey in form if they feel their charge has a good chance, or that’s the theory), but we mustn’t forget the trainers input in all this as well.

Trainer Duncan Howells – in great form.

When we look at their stats we have a three-way tie with Sean Tarry, Duncan Howells, and Gavin Smith all responsible for five winners, but can we make any use of those “fascinating” statistics to turn as profit this weekend – I certainly hope so or I have just wasted a chunk of my life for nothing. Combinations seem a good way to start, and in the opening fillies maiden at 12:15 over 1400mtrs, Keagan De Melo rides Girl In Gold for Duncan Howells and thus ticks not one but two boxes. A daughter of Gimmethegreenlight she has finished fourth in both starts to date and failed to see out the 1600mtrs last time when a four and a quarter length fourth to Flichity By Farr at Greyville but will be happier dropped back in trip and can hopefully start our day with a winner.

The same pairing get together in the second race as well (it’s just how it pans out), though this time we have a much bigger price if the early odds are to be believed. Up In Smoke could well be appropriately named (hope not) and will need to do a bit better than her recent third here over course and distance but that is the point of looking for stables and jockeys in form, they can surprise us all when at the peak of their powers and that is the plan this afternoon

At the risk of sounding like a stuck record, it’s more of the same in Race Three (13:25) with the previously unraced Edge Of The Sun, an expensively bought son of Philanthropist who cost a big 1,100,000 Rand at the sales.  Those of us naïve enough to back him must be clear that we have no idea of his ability or his fitness levels first time out, but rules are rules and he is horse number three in the first three races on Sunday afternoon.

Keagan de Melo – six winers in the alstv week,

Race Four can be left alone even though two of the trainers are in action and two of the jockeys, but they don’t “pair up”, and we don’t want too many horses or I won’t be able to work out the multiples. Race Five sees two options in Kahula (Tarry/Zackey) and Sitia (Howells/de Melo), so we will have a small forecast on the two just for the fun and won’t put them in the main bet (I’m married so making a decision would be something alien to me), which leads us to Race 7 (Race 6 is a no-go zone for a change today). It’s a return to the Howells/de Melo double act, so if they have a bad day, we do too, and this time the charmingly named Choir Of Angels. Perhaps not the most macho of names for a gelding but if he wins, who cares, and after a good fourth on the Greyville polytrack last time out, just a length and a half off the winner, and dropped in class this afternoon off the same handicap rating, we have to be pretty hopeful.

Race 8 has two possibles with Duncan Howells responsible for two runners and Keagan de Melo on board Madame Excess and Jalon Samuel riding Miss Suey so it’s time for another small forecast, leaving one more to come as we pounce on the chances of High Altar in the lucky last aka Race Nine. A maiden winner last time out over course and distance, he looks one of the likelier winners of our five to be fair, but as long as at least two of them win we should be Ok and can have a bit of fun for pennies with the possibilities of a decent profit if we get really lucky.

Sean’s Suggestions:

Small stakes each way Lucky 31 – Singles, doubles, trebles, four-folds and an accumulator.

Girl In Gold 12:15pm Local Time Scottsville Sunday

Up In Smoke 12:50pm Local Time Scottsville Sunday

Edge Of The Sun 13:25pm Local Time Scottsville Sunday

Choir Of Angels 15:40pm Local Time Scottsville Sunday

High Altar 16:45pm Local Time Scottsville Sunday

Smallest stakes Reverse Forecasts

Kahula/Sitia 14:35pm Local Time Scottsville Sunday

Madame Excess/Miss Suey 16:10pm Local Time Scottsville Sunday

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