Villa value at 4/1 to sink the Saints

Aston Villa look worth a punt at the 4/1 on offer with bet365 and Coral to win their away game at Southampton today (12.45pm KO, Live on BT Sport 1).

Southampton have won just one of their six previous league matches against Villa at St Mary’s (D2, L3), and the visitors come into the game in better form.

The Villans have won four and lost just onece in their last five games, and are now virtually guaranteed a stay in the top flight thanks to new manager Tim Sherwood turning things around.

By stark contrast, Southampton’s form has tailed off since their excellent start to the season and they have won just one of their last five games, losing three in the process.

The Saints have also shipped two goals in each of their last four games (D1, L3) and face an in-form striker in Christian Benteke who has netted 10 goals in 13  shots on target since Sherwood took over.

To me there is no way Southampton should be odds on for this, and the 4/1 available about Villa looks huge. The advice is to snap it up.

In the first goalscorer market the aforementioned Benteke looks decnet value at 13/2 with bet365 and Paddy Power, whilst in the correct score market I am going to suggest a small punt on Villa winning 2-1 at the 16/1 on offer with bet365 and BetVictor.

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