33/1 I Hate To Lose worth a punt
I Hate to Lose was a bitter disappointment on her handicap debut but looks another chance 33/1 to the recoup losses in the 2.35 at Yarmouth.
She was sent off a well supported 11/2 shot at Kempton but after seemingly travelling well weakened tamely out of contention at the two marker to finish 10th of 11 to Russian Ice.
That was clearly not her showing, and I know for a fact that connections rate her better than her current mark of 60.
Phlip McBride’s filly had finished no better than fifth in four starts in maidens prior to her run at Kempton, but she had shaped well on a number of occasions and looked as if she was being brought along steadily with handicps in mind.
She particularly caught the eye on her juvenile debut, where having been well supported in the market she travelled strongly into contention two from home before being carried left from over a furlong out and fading to finish 8th of 12 to Tuscania at Kempton.
Her next start at Chester saw her finish fifth of 12 to Layla Jamil, but she ran far better than her finishing position suggests and the race has thrown up a whole host of subsequent winners.
The daughter of Medaglio d’Oro failed to build on those promising efforts in two starts this season before her handicap debut flop, but she has been sent off second favourite on both occasions and connections believe she is capable of much better than she has shown.
She clearly needs to leave her latest run behind and backing her to do so today is clearly a risk.
However at 33/1 it looks a risk worth taking.
Recommended bet: 2pts each-way I Hate To Lose (33/1 bet365 – BOG)
Jump in for the 3/1 about Jinto
David Elsworth has his team in terrific form and Jinto looks poised to give him another winner in the 4.55 at Yarmouth.
The gelding landeds a handicap at this track last August after a nine month lay-off, stayting onb strongly to beat Budding Daffodil by a neck off a mark of 60.
He failed to cut any ice in his first three starts of this campaign, but his handicap mark dropped as a result and he has come back to form in his last two runs.
The four year-old stayed on well to finish a never nearer fourth of 13 to Highlife Dancer at Lingifeld off today’s mark of 55, and followed that up with a solid third to May Contain Nuts in a handicap at Salisbury last time out in a class 5 contest.
Connections have decided to drop him back down to a class 6 event today, and given that he is now 5lb lower than his last win it looks a golden opportunity for him to get his head back in front.
Recommended bet: 3pts win Jinto (3/1 bet365 – BOG)