10/1 Belinksy the bet
Belinksy is dangerously well treated at the moment and looked worth one more chance at 10/1 in the 5.20 at Yarmouth now dropped back down in distance.
The gelding has failed to score since May 2010 when trained by Nigel Tinkler, but that win came off a mark of 70 and he is now down to just 58.
That gives him a huge chance from a handicapping perspective, and he has shown enough sparkle this season to suggest he will win a race at a nice price.
The first of those runs came at York (off a mark of 63), where he raced prominently for much of the 6f journey before being unable to find any extra inside the last and weakened to finish 5th of 11 to Toby Tyler.
Belinsky then again caught the eye when showing good early pace to finish sixth of 12 to Kings ‘N Dreams at Haydock five starts ago – once again being unable to find any extra close home to be beaten 3 3/4 lengths.
He then came a solid third to Mount Hollow off 59 and a good fourth to Downhill Skier at Thirsk off a mark of 60.
The gelding’s the stayed on well again to finish 7th of 15 to Song Of Parkes at Redcar, before finding 7f too far on his latest start at Leicester two weeks ago.
He showed plenty of early pace that day but was unable to find any extra in the final furlong and weakened to finish 6th of 15 to Prince Of Passion (beaten 5 1/2 lengths).
It was clear to me that he simply ran out of gas that day, and the drop back to 6f this afternoon looks sure to suit.
He has certainly been a costly horse to follow this season, but he is undoubtedly very well treated if putting his best foot forward and at 10/1 he can hopefully recoup the losses today.
Daily Sport recommended bet: 2pts each-way Belinsky (10/1 generally available – BOG)
Time to Strike A Deal at 7’s
Strike A Deal showed enough last time to suggest she was ready to cash-in on a lenient mark, and makes plenty of appeal at 7/1 in the 4.50 at Yarmouth.
Chris Wall’s filly was rated 71 when winning a maiden at Redcar last summer, and went on to twice finish runner-up in handicaps off a mark of 64.
Although she has failed to trouble the judge in her first five starts this season, she really caught the eye when fifth of 15 to Ippi N Tombi at Yarmouth two outings ago and backed that up with an excellent third to Michael’s Nook at Leicester last time out off today’s mark of 58.
She kept on well that day to be beaten 3 3/4 lengths, and the form looks strong as the winner has gone on to score again since.
Her current mark of 58 means that she is 12lb lower than when winning her maiden, and her last run show that she retains enough ability to take advantage in a contest like this.
With Danny Brock taking off another 7lb she is undoubtedly handicapped to score if back to anywhere near her best, and at 8/1 she looks a cracking each-way punt.
Daily Sport recommended bet: 2pts each-way Strike A Deal (7/1 Hills – BOG)