Is The Odds-On Jolly A False Favourite?

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Papillon, with delighted jockey Ruby Walsh, wins the 2000 Martell Grand National, at Aintree racecourse, Liverpool. * 02/04/01 Papillon (left, green top), ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh, jumping the last fence on his way to win the 2000 Martell Grand National. Papillon will be able to defend his Martell Grand National crown after the Irish Department of Agriculture today permitted horses to travel to Britain for the three-day Aintree fixture.

I must be missing something, because other than being trained by the Gosdens, I cannot see why Majed should be odds-on ahead of the 6.00pm at Southwell tonight. He did win last time out at Wolverhampton by a couple of lengths in November, but that sees him stuck with top-weight here as he tried a step up in trip of three furlongs, which is NOT guaranteed to suit as a son of Magna Grecia who won over up to a mile, and out of an unraced mare who is a daughter of Fastnet Rock who never won beyond six furlongs.

That pedigree doesn’t scream stamina to me, and I will take a value chance on Dunstan. With Torrent expected to take them along at a decent pace and make this a test of stamina (hopefully) the selection stays on well late on suggesting he may get even further given the chance. Better still, he races off the same mark as his last success at the same level and at 7/2, he will be carrying my money here.

Daily Sport Recommended Bet 1pt Win Dunstan 6.00pm Southwell 7/2 Bet365

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