Stats Suggest The Favourite Is Up Against It

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More data for me to work with here so I am referring to the last 15 years (13 runnings) in the hope that somehow magics up the winner of this competitive event. There may be just the seven runners, but all of those 13 historic winners came home in the first 10 on their previous start – and interestingly that means we can remove favourite Baradar and third favourite Orazio – worrying facts! Adaay In Devon goes because we haven’t seen a three-year-old win this in recent years, and Glorious Angel drops off the shortlist with 12 of the last 13 victors priced at 12/1 or shorter.  

With only one winner rated lower than 100 we now wave bye-bye to Sophia’s Starlight, we have a new list of just the two contenders – Marshman and Montassib. Both have won over the six furlongs they face here, and both have won on soft ground but with the Karl Burke stable in better form, its Marshman for me.

Last seen finishing eighth to Equality in the Group Three Coral Charge in July, this will be his first start outside of Group company since his second career start when winning at Thirsk, and if he is fully tuned for his return to action (he has won on his debut in both of his two racing seasons), then he is the one I would want to be on. 

Daily Sport Recommended Bet 1/2pt Each Way Marshman 3.00pm Doncaster 9/2 William Hill

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