Can Newcastle be Bookies Nightmare?

5/1 Mission Impossible fancied to follow-up

Mission Impossible did us a favour when landing a gamble last week and looks worth a punt at 5/1 to follow up in the 2.50 at Newcastle.

Tracy Waggott’s gelding, who was advised at 10/1, romped home at today’s track having been backed in to 13/2 and it’s no surprise to see him turned out quickly under a 6lb penalty.

He is still extremely well treated off a mark of 52, as his last success before Newcastle came off the same rating and he has been victorious off marks as high as 70 and 71 in the past.

I was impressed by the way showed a good turn of foot to put the race to bed last Monday, and the current cut in the ground clearly suits him well.

Having said that he has run well on all types of going and won on the all-weather, so he is not totally dependent on having the mud flying.

To my eyes he is the one they all have to beat, and he looks an each-way steal at the 5/1 on offer.
 
Recommended bet: 3pts each-way
Mission Impossible (5/1 Betfred, Hills – BOG, Sky Bet)
Blue Noodles a tasty punt at 14/1

Blue Noodles is now very well treated, and with conditions in his favour looks a cracking each-way bet at 14/1 in the 3.20 at Newcastle.

The gelding won a claimer at Kempton on his final start of last season when trained by John Best off a mark of 62, and was successful at this track over 6f in the mud as a juvenile off 65.

Now in the care of John Wainwright he showed nothing in his first four starts this season, but his handicap mark has plummeted as a result and he shaped with far more promise last time out when fourth of 13 to Escape artist in a selling handicap at Thirk.

He kept on well that day to be beaten three lengths, and the handicapper has been kind in subsequently dropping him another 1lb.

That means that off a mark of 52 today he is racing off a career low, and that gives him a tremendous chance from a handicapping perspective if building on his latest effort.

With conditions ideal a huge run looks on the cards, and at 14/1 he makes plenty of each-way appeal.

Recommended bet: 2pts each-way Blue Noodles (14/1 – Stan James)
Cash-in on 7/1 Chookie Avon

Rookie trainer Keith Dalgleish has made a tremendous start to his career, and Chookie Avon looks to have a major chance at 7/1 of providing him with another winner in the 3.50 at Newcastle.

The four-year-old is now 1lb below his last winning mark, and shaped as if ready to take advantage when third to Catallout at Musselburgh two days ago.

Held up in mid-division he made good headway to throw down a challenge two from home but was unable to find the necessary change of gear to land the spoils.

However he did keep on really well to beaten just two lengths, and it’s no surprise to see him turned out quickly from the same mark.

Connections are clearly keen to take advantage of his current rating of 55, and with conditions now in his favour he looks the type who could put together a couple of wins before the handicapper has his say.

The way in which he was punted last time out suggests that he will win sooner rather than later, and with everything in his favour this looks a golden opportunity for him to get back in the winners’ enclosure.

Recommended bet: 2pts each-way Chookie Avon (7/1 Betfred – BOG, totesport, Stan James)

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *