12/1 Songbird can give bookies the Blues
Songbird Blues has been shaping better than her form figures suggest and looks worth chancing at 12/1 in the 5.30 at Wolverhampton this evening.
Mark Usher’s filly caught the eye last time out when finishing a never nearer fifth of 11 to Atlantis Crossing over course and distance.
Held up at the rear she found her way blocked when trying to make a move a furlong from home, and after being switched to deliver a run stayed on to be beaten just over four lengths without ever threatening to land a blow.
She was not knocked about once it was clear she would not be winning, and the handicapper has reacted by dropping her 4lb to a mark of just 48.
To me she has shown enough to suggest that if things drop right she is capable of scoring from such a lowly rating, and her run three starts back behind one of the leading fancies for this Berlusca suggests she is overpriced.
The daughter of Beat All is 11lb better off with that rival for 4 length beating and I think that will be enough for her to turn the tables as she was badly hampered two from home and then found herself short of room inside the final furlong that day.
There is certainly not much between them on the book, so I can’t really understand why she should be available to back at almost four times the odds of Berlusca.
At 12/1 she looks overpriced and definitely worth an each-way interest.
Daily Sport recommended bet: 2pts each-way Songbird Blues (12/1 Ladbrokes – BOG)
15/2 Dan ready to deliver
Lucky Dan shaped as if coming back to his best last time out and makes plenty of each-way appeal at 15/1 in the 7.00 at Wolverhampton.
Paul Green’s five-year-old kept on well from well off the pace after missing the kick at the start to finish a 3 3/4 length fourth to Red Cape here six days ago from a mark of 75 and has since been dropped 2lb.
That means that he is now 1lb lower than his last victory over course and distance back in January and gives him every chance from a handicapping perspective of scoring an overdue success.
The gelding’s come from behind run style does mean that he is reliant on getting the breaks at the right time, but he has a good draw in stall five from where he can tuck in behind the leaders and hopefully be produced late to land the spoils.
he certainly won’t have too improve much on his latest effort to take all the beating in this line-up, and If he gets away on terms I can’t see him being out of the frame at the very least.
Daily Sport recommended bet; 2pts each-way Lucky Dan (15/2 Betfred – BOG)
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