Winners in the Ayr

Valery value at 20/1 for Silver cup glory

Valery Borzov will relish the testing conditions in today’s Ayr Silver Cup (2.15) and looks terrific each-way value at 20/1 for a horse that is potentially very well treated.

Richard Fahey’s gelding disappointed last time out, but things didn’t quite go according to plan and he had previously shown that he was coming back to his best when beating Amenable at Hamilton off a mark of 85.

Although he races off a 5lb higher mark this afternoon he has won off much higher marks in the past and has conditions which he needs to be seen at his best.

It’s a case of the softer the better for the seven-year-old, who has put up all his best performances when the mud is flying.

That is going to be the case today, with 7mm of rain falling at the Scottish track overnight and more showers forecast today.

The gelding slammed Harrison George off a mark of 97 in a hot handicap at York on soft going back in 2009, and had previously won in heavy going at Haydock off 92.

He was not at his best last season, but has fallen in the weights as a result and has been nursed back to form by his handler.

There is little doubt that he retains enough ability to go take all the beating in this, and although it was no doubt a difficult choice for Paul Hanagan he has decided to partner him out of seven Fahey runners.

I had him priced up at no bigger than 14s for this, so at 20/1 he looks too big to ignore and excellent each-way value.

Recommended bet: 2pts each-way Valery Borzov (20-1 Hills – BOG, Blue Square, both paying 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5)
10/1 Tiger ready to Reign again

Tiger Reigns has been given a huge chance by the handicapper and makes plenty of appeal at 10/1 in the 5.00 at Ayr.

Michael Dodds’ gelding won this contest last year off a mark of 97 and is now down to 93 having been started the campaign on 101.

He was actually a good third of the latter mark at Ponteic off 95 at Newmarket three starts back.

It’s true that his last two runs have been disappointing, but he came into last year’s renewal with a similar profile and is sure to have been trained with a repeat victory in mind.

He has plenty of winning form on soft ground so conditions will clearly hold no fears, and his trainers runners always have to be respected at this track.

Everything looks in place for a huge run, and the 10/1 on offer with Hills should be snapped up.

Recommended bet: 2pts each-way Tiger Reigns (10/1 Hills – BOG)

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